PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Hauchn

0xf0ca28d5b0141f0a8e7b251dea80fd881cb166ed

Realised P&L
$318.1k
Volume
$7.78M
Markets traded
185
Open portfolio
$106.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded185
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.3040.455$74.4k+$24.7k
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1410.236$22.8k+$9.1k
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No0.3740.480$3.7k+$814.23
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.4370.175$2.4k$3.7k
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No0.4450.245$1.7k$1.4k
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0800.155$792.55+$384.89
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.2970.110$429.04$727.84
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.2090.390$174.28+$80.74
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.1200.130$13.55+$1.04
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.0730.077$2.90+$0.17
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$137.93
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$137.93
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$137.93
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$137.93
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$766.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 08:49Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.073$2.73
08-03 08:48Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.12$12.51
07-31 16:35Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.09$1.85
07-31 16:35Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.1018460402$5.52
07-31 16:35Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.116278$34.88
07-31 15:01Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.2093286638$93.54
07-31 13:58Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.2422606476$395.73
07-31 13:53Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.17$5.56
07-31 13:49Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.445$89.00
07-31 13:48Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.2631792826$91.06
07-31 13:47Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.2216341528$368.55
07-31 13:42Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.2634068068$77.32
07-30 21:31Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.679985868$498.49
07-30 21:29Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.7117317953$1.8k
07-30 21:26Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.5783467376$29.34