PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

yen4u

0xf0d5eb1cbe7350f1f896ade6c172e6700414c665

Realised P&L
$93.1k
Volume
$7.36M
Markets traded
997
Open portfolio
$162.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded997
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8680.875$26.9k+$215.64
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · No0.9730.985$23.3k+$283.72
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9210.935$18.7k+$275.00
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.3030.365$15.4k+$2.6k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.1850.415$14.7k+$8.2k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7810.795$13.5k+$235.01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9140.935$10.4k+$226.75
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.7270.967$10.1k+$2.5k
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.845$7.3k+$475.99
Kash Patel out by December 31? · No0.7150.740$6.5k+$215.75
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0640.140$5.1k+$2.8k
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.1170.063$4.5k$3.9k
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.3450.810$3.0k+$1.7k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8400.865$865.00+$25.00
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · No0.8440.855$848.60+$10.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:40US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?BUY0.8570456563$270.31
08-02 21:39Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?BUY0.999$174.82
08-02 21:39Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?BUY0.99$0.61
08-02 07:50Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699919381$1.9k
08-02 06:14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.82$5.7k
08-02 06:13US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?BUY0.8469595976$153.24
08-02 06:12Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.94$7.0k
08-02 05:20Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.35$534.44
08-02 05:19Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.34$2.2k
08-01 20:10Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.92$1.4k
08-01 20:09Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9989708738$1.0k
08-01 19:57Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.3781010694$4.0k
08-01 19:54Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.36$304.31
08-01 19:41Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.977$1.5k
08-01 19:40Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.74$2.2k