yen4u
0xf0d5eb1cbe7350f1f896ade6c172e6700414c665
- Realised P&L
- $93.1k
- Volume
- $7.36M
- Markets traded
- 997
- Open portfolio
- $162.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded997
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$254.0kat 0.500Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
- +$65.0kat 0.556MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$21.3kat 0.998US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$19.0kat 0.873Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$6.2kat 0.079Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:40 | US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | BUY | 0.8570456563 | $270.31 |
| 08-02 21:39 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $174.82 |
| 08-02 21:39 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.61 |
| 08-02 07:50 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699919381 | $1.9k |
| 08-02 06:14 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $5.7k |
| 08-02 06:13 | US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | BUY | 0.8469595976 | $153.24 |
| 08-02 06:12 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.0k |
| 08-02 05:20 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $534.44 |
| 08-02 05:19 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.2k |
| 08-01 20:10 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.4k |
| 08-01 20:09 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989708738 | $1.0k |
| 08-01 19:57 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.3781010694 | $4.0k |
| 08-01 19:54 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $304.31 |
| 08-01 19:41 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.977 | $1.5k |
| 08-01 19:40 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.2k |