sneakysquirrel
0xf162cacfa0c133eacb160311364892bc691f8c02
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $478.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? · Yes | 0.709 | 0.275 | $388.10 | −$611.90 |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes | 0.347 | 0.105 | $90.67 | −$209.32 |
| Sinner vs. Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026? · No | 0.667 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$805.37at 0.781Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$134.71at 0.595Europe World Cup Qualifiers Parlay
- +$-266.66at 0.810Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 08:44 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $533.33 |
| 02-27 18:44 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.8099999998 | $800.00 |
| 02-27 18:44 | US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.6666637478 | $1000.00 |
| 01-05 17:25 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BUY | 0.7085829753 | $1000.00 |
| 01-05 17:25 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.3473945404 | $300.00 |
| 11-17 20:24 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.6799999965 | $23.65 |
| 11-14 16:10 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $150.00 |
| 11-14 10:28 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.7882278175 | $160.00 |
| 11-14 10:27 | Sinner vs. Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.2292358778 | $60.00 |
| 11-13 22:52 | Europe World Cup Qualifiers Parlay | SELL | 0.9961309524 | $334.70 |
| 11-13 14:43 | Europe World Cup Qualifiers Parlay | BUY | 0.5952227033 | $200.00 |
| 11-12 18:24 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.8764941985 | $500.00 |
| 11-12 18:20 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $116.61 |