PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bnetopt

0xf18f338022da2ee5d6e71d7df69095ce5645294c

Realised P&L
$-40.1k
Volume
$2.86M
Markets traded
387
Open portfolio
$5.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded387
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0750.055$825.00$307.35
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4250.290$725.00$336.73
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2020.140$700.00$310.49
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1320.100$500.00$159.92
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay · Yes0.2130.095$475.00$589.83
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4900.345$431.13$181.29
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0750.065$325.00$50.00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3070.185$231.25$152.69
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No0.2250.075$187.50$375.78
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4060.140$175.00$332.77
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1000.065$162.50$87.50
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1680.125$156.25$54.34
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.3120.115$143.75$246.34
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1700.085$106.25$106.67
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.2750.200$100.00$37.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 21:36Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.5799999982$103.00
07-31 21:35US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.92$103.76
07-31 13:26US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.8399998493$2.23
07-31 13:26US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.84$187.24
07-31 01:03Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?SELL0.37$3.20
07-30 23:09Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.9$92.71
07-30 23:08Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?SELL0.008$2.00
07-30 23:00Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.92$94.76
07-30 22:34Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.8499999953$172.95
07-29 20:01US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.919844841$106.71
07-28 22:26US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.45$146.77
07-28 22:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.76$64.86
07-28 22:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.46$65.03
07-28 22:17US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.47$219.74
07-28 18:38Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.99$20.77