bnetopt
0xf18f338022da2ee5d6e71d7df69095ce5645294c
- Realised P&L
- $-40.1k
- Volume
- $2.86M
- Markets traded
- 387
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded387
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.7kat 0.285Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$5.5kat 0.108US bank failure by October 31?
- +$4.8kat 0.650Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$3.8kat 0.249US bank failure before March?
- +$2.8kat 0.598Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 21:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.5799999982 | $103.00 |
| 07-31 21:35 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $103.76 |
| 07-31 13:26 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.8399998493 | $2.23 |
| 07-31 13:26 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $187.24 |
| 07-31 01:03 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $3.20 |
| 07-30 23:09 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $92.71 |
| 07-30 23:08 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | SELL | 0.008 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 23:00 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $94.76 |
| 07-30 22:34 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.8499999953 | $172.95 |
| 07-29 20:01 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.919844841 | $106.71 |
| 07-28 22:26 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.45 | $146.77 |
| 07-28 22:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.76 | $64.86 |
| 07-28 22:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.46 | $65.03 |
| 07-28 22:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.47 | $219.74 |
| 07-28 18:38 | Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.99 | $20.77 |