FKP2101
0xf1ba1157008ed136d362784197109440d3b98977
- Realised P&L
- $-41.93
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $51.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.253 | 0.247 | $19.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · Yes | 0.238 | 0.345 | $14.50 | +$4.50 |
| Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.183 | $11.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.083 | $4.34 | −$5.66 |
| Will Partido Social Democrático (PSD) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.005 | $1.11 | −$6.15 |
| Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.63at 0.320Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$-0.80at 0.005Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-1.00at 0.024Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-1.00at 0.300Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
- +$-1.00at 0.250Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 14:00 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 13:59 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 19:47 | Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.1809999729 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 17:52 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 05-30 17:50 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 23:55 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2789999869 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 16:45 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2319999837 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 20:18 | Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.023999977 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 20:18 | Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0309999902 | $3.00 |
| 05-18 20:18 | Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0359999886 | $3.00 |
| 05-18 20:17 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2199999949 | $30.00 |
| 05-14 01:30 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0050092253 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 01:52 | Lakers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 19:43 | Will Partido Social Democrático (PSD) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | BUY | 0.0533154201 | $5.00 |
| 04-15 19:42 | Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |