imthegingerbreadman
0xf2074303b8c366e29f8012a1c5f1a025554974d5
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $19.4k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $559.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-31.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.371 | 0.048 | $559.29 | −$3.8k |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.576 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on November 10? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.347 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.59at 0.962Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 14?
- +$9.88at 0.981Will Solana reach $260 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-16 14:48 | Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.246845068 | $363.14 |
| 03-08 23:03 | Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3629588785 | $1.0k |
| 03-05 11:20 | Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5599999999 | $268.36 |
| 01-02 12:11 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3712273333 | $4.3k |
| 11-09 16:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on November 10? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 11-09 16:30 | Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025? | BUY | 0.2 | $200.00 |
| 11-09 16:29 | Will Solana reach $260 in November? | BUY | 0.9806306944 | $500.00 |
| 10-13 18:03 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5759567833 | $500.00 |
| 10-13 17:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.9622979592 | $500.00 |