0xf24f1Cf27B273daaDEfD5D363A4E7f93454e80e3-1763849675002
0xf24f1cf27b273daadefd5d363a4e7f93454e80e3
- Realised P&L
- $118.91
- Volume
- $84.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,371
- Open portfolio
- $161.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,371
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.91at 0.012Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$49.60at 0.008Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$33.29at 0.004Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
- +$30.52at 0.071US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$29.30at 0.023Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 17:00 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.39 |
| 07-27 16:58 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 07-25 15:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.80 |
| 07-24 14:46 | Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.20 |
| 07-24 14:44 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.10 |
| 07-24 14:43 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.35 |
| 07-24 14:43 | Will Warsh say "Renovation" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.10 |
| 07-24 14:41 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 07-24 14:41 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 07-24 14:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.31 | $4.34 |
| 07-24 14:41 | Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.98 |
| 07-09 19:10 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 07-02 12:33 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 07-02 12:31 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 07-02 12:30 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.034 | $3.40 |