0xf257e1b8cd2ab5c55ee05c20c560202544441950
- Realised P&L
- $-3.8k
- Volume
- $1.20M
- Markets traded
- 2,099
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,099
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$938.22at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
- +$764.75at 0.080Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$729.61at 0.049Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?
- +$640.81at 0.120Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
- +$616.29at 0.020Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:53 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.704999959 | $3.70 |
| 08-03 08:38 | Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 08:04 | Will White House post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0522747267 | $1.35 |
| 08-03 08:04 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599998921 | $1.35 |
| 08-03 08:03 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.4453748485 | $35.52 |
| 08-03 08:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7491410222 | $5.32 |
| 08-03 08:00 | Will CZ post 40-59 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.0539622605 | $13.52 |
| 08-03 07:48 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7589999774 | $4.56 |
| 08-03 07:32 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7639999991 | $39.27 |
| 08-03 07:28 | Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 07:24 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999779 | $5.85 |
| 08-03 07:15 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.94 |
| 08-03 06:56 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999686 | $1.76 |
| 08-03 06:54 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.0845782657 | $1.56 |
| 08-03 06:50 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999403 | $2.25 |