PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Sunbreon

0xf26c5c8e24a02858339d9d817458b08861fbebe5

Realised P&L
$6.3k
Volume
$156.4k
Markets traded
207
Open portfolio
$10.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded207
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5430.555$2.0k+$43.30
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6640.685$1.0k+$31.63
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.5770.675$675.54+$97.67
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.6650.685$618.10+$18.10
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? · No0.6300.715$572.00+$68.00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5700.635$557.02+$57.02
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.5800.825$499.13+$148.22
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.345$466.08$33.92
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.8800.925$462.50+$22.50
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.5470.910$454.99+$181.67
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4000.415$311.25+$11.25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7600.805$241.50+$13.50
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes0.5970.570$238.73$11.27
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.6200.705$211.50+$25.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1230.118$192.68$7.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 06:38Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.559$2.55
08-02 06:38Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.5748235806$132.12
08-02 06:31Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.6299999982$50.00
08-02 06:30Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.6449368958$100.00
08-02 06:25Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.4081421031$70.37
08-02 05:45Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4291235955$15.28
08-02 04:17Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.5551836984$25.00
08-01 19:28U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.999$588.72
08-01 19:27Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?SELL0.999$255.13
08-01 19:14Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.999$800.02
08-01 17:27Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?BUY0.428373$42.84
08-01 17:21Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6$120.00
08-01 16:58Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.65$12.50
08-01 16:51Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6425623401$200.00
08-01 16:42Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.65$17.09