Username1212888
0xf2e4b0e8d904addfd57ca9938d80f6fa2f2a1660
- Realised P&L
- $-341.68
- Volume
- $169.6k
- Markets traded
- 504
- Open portfolio
- $46.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded504
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$757.62at 0.042Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$97.81at 0.048Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$78.66at 0.150Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
- +$57.44at 0.080Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
- +$33.21at 0.030MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 17:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.006999993 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 07:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 07:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 19:33 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5524999434 | $3.00 |
| 07-13 19:33 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5974999796 | $3.00 |
| 07-12 10:54 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.144 | $7.20 |
| 06-17 13:50 | Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999893 | $15.00 |
| 06-17 13:50 | Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 13:49 | Will Turkey sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 13:49 | Will Jordan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 13:49 | Will Kuwait sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 13:49 | Will Saudi Arabia sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 13:49 | Will Syria sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding? | BUY | 0.048999954 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 13:48 | Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding? | BUY | 0.0359999663 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 13:48 | Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |