5GRFG434
0xf3c4376d385ed8fa1ddecb21274c9f2cd4bb3a09
- Realised P&L
- $-23.09
- Volume
- $38.9k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $65.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.990 | 0.990 | $38.16 | −$0.02 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.003 | $27.75 | −$27.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.21at 0.008Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$0.28at 0.983Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.09at 0.999Will XRP dip to $1.40 January 12-18?
- +$0.04at 0.999Will Solana dip to $70 January 5-11?
- +$0.04at 0.999Will Solana reach $210 January 5-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-24 04:35 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $38.18 |
| 02-27 08:47 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $37.96 |
| 02-25 12:26 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $33.72 |
| 02-25 12:25 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.984 | $33.36 |
| 01-20 03:01 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9829999999 | $92.58 |
| 01-14 02:56 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 January 12-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $92.49 |
| 01-08 07:49 | Will Solana dip to $80 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.20 |
| 01-08 07:49 | Will Solana dip to $70 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.20 |
| 01-08 07:49 | Will Solana reach $210 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.00 |