PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

jeromecharline

0xf404014fe37b6426b2adb5b0844a1d7a3e1699fc

Realised P&L
$-53.40
Volume
$8.3k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$33.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration96.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? · Yes0.3101.000$16.13+$11.13
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1000.041$8.10$11.90
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.3990.105$5.29$14.81
Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.4000.525$1.31+$0.31
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.7700.895$1.16+$0.16
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0080.007$0.94$0.06
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2400.170$0.71$0.29
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$10.00
Sam Altman in jail by June 30? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$1.00
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$4.00
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$1.00
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$17.00
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in December? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$9.00
Another US bank failure by February 28? · Yes0.3070.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 14:52Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4199999899$10.00
07-12 14:51Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3099999622$5.00
02-28 06:11Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$1.00
02-01 08:08Another US bank failure by February 28?BUY0.3075796254$100.00
01-20 20:56Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?BUY0.001$4.00
01-20 20:54Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?SELL0.14$3.31
01-05 11:08Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.77$1.00
01-05 11:08Sam Altman in jail by June 30?BUY0.0282296139$1.00
01-05 11:08Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
01-05 11:07OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?BUY0.239999856$1.00
01-05 11:07Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
01-05 11:07Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.4$1.00
01-05 11:07GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.3989408774$20.10
01-05 11:01Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in December?BUY0.09$9.00
01-05 10:57Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.1$20.00