jeromecharline
0xf404014fe37b6426b2adb5b0844a1d7a3e1699fc
- Realised P&L
- $-53.40
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $33.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.49at 0.047US bank failure by January 31?
- +$3.77at 0.570Japanese Snap Election Called by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.49at 0.670Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?
- +$-1.69at 0.212Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 14:52 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 14:51 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 02-28 06:11 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 02-01 08:08 | Another US bank failure by February 28? | BUY | 0.3075796254 | $100.00 |
| 01-20 20:56 | Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 01-20 20:54 | Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.31 |
| 01-05 11:08 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 01-05 11:08 | Sam Altman in jail by June 30? | BUY | 0.0282296139 | $1.00 |
| 01-05 11:08 | Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 01-05 11:07 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 01-05 11:07 | Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 01-05 11:07 | Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 01-05 11:07 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.3989408774 | $20.10 |
| 01-05 11:01 | Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in December? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 01-05 10:57 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |