PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xf40e019c49014769655e937f303203fa4d90ff76

Realised P&L
$0.46
Volume
$47.9k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$103.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration96.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9840.987$83.43+$0.21
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.003$20.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-24 04:28Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.984$83.22
03-24 04:27Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.007$82.60
02-25 11:53Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$63.26
02-25 11:52Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.987$62.77
01-14 02:24Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.989$106.62
01-07 06:27Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 5-11?BUY0.9969999999$14.14
01-07 06:27Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 5-11?BUY0.997999983$40.00
01-07 06:26Will Ethereum reach $3,900 January 5-11?BUY0.9933008684$52.00
12-08 06:47Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.9979999838$42.99
12-08 06:44Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$63.00