0xf45f68DF2146a915496baA96980eD0933835Dbfd-1762867485179
0xf45f68df2146a915496baa96980ed0933835dbfd
- Realised P&L
- $-50.50
- Volume
- $22.3k
- Markets traded
- 492
- Open portfolio
- $115.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded492
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.43at 0.230UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$21.11at 0.180Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?
- +$20.01at 0.488Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?
- +$19.40at 0.515Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
- +$19.38at 0.340UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:42 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 08-02 11:41 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.08 |
| 08-01 16:01 | UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims) | SELL | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 07-31 20:13 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 07-31 19:17 | Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.153 | $3.06 |
| 07-31 19:17 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.71 |
| 07-31 15:22 | UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 07-31 12:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 07-31 10:13 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 07-31 10:13 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 08:51 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.118 | $1.35 |
| 07-31 08:51 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 07-31 08:51 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 07-31 08:49 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 07-31 08:26 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |