0x19e74fbc766b80aaff639c5e18bcc86b979050f0
0xf475402430f3dc9611abeea737fe69dd02f48486
- Realised P&L
- $826.40
- Volume
- $48.3k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $7.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.008Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship?
- +$525.55at 0.008Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 The Open Championship?
- +$525.55at 0.008Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 The Open Championship?
- +$27.06at 0.963Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 3M Open?
- +$16.80at 0.969Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 12:47 | Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.995 | $119.40 |
| 07-31 12:47 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.997 | $209.37 |
| 07-31 12:47 | Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.995 | $208.95 |
| 07-26 23:23 | Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.995 | $298.50 |
| 07-22 21:01 | Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.995 | $298.50 |
| 07-22 21:01 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.997 | $524.42 |
| 07-22 21:01 | Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.984 | $524.94 |
| 07-22 21:01 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.912 | $747.84 |
| 07-22 21:01 | Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.996 | $524.89 |
| 07-22 21:01 | Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.928 | $747.97 |
| 07-22 21:01 | Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.995 | $523.37 |
| 07-22 21:01 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.957 | $748.37 |
| 07-21 16:22 | Will Beau Hossler win the 2026 3M Open? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 07-21 14:39 | Will Jason Day win the 2026 3M Open? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 07-21 14:13 | Will Ricky Castillo win the 2026 3M Open? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |