0xF4844aC05dDfaa6c41eB56972ED0C20d9779E79c-1783368954411
0xf4844ac05ddfaa6c41eb56972ed0c20d9779e79c
- Realised P&L
- $-525.26
- Volume
- $31.3k
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $0.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.001 | $0.44 | −$813.95 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.002 | $0.14 | −$3.86 |
| Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$17.96 |
| Will CD La Serena vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$192.50at 0.300Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$181.34at 0.746Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-08-02?
- +$113.73at 0.320Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$113.49at 0.248Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?
- +$110.02at 0.732Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-07-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:00 | Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.689999995 | $17.97 |
| 08-02 20:57 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.37 |
| 08-02 20:56 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.92 | $814.39 |
| 08-02 20:47 | Will CD La Serena vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8099999957 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 20:45 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.8265661642 | $123.37 |
| 08-02 20:13 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 20:00 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 17:51 | Will WKW ETO FC Gyor win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.999 | $840.25 |
| 08-02 16:59 | Will WKW ETO FC Gyor win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.93 | $759.72 |
| 08-02 16:19 | Will WKW ETO FC Gyor win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.6199999942 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 16:16 | Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.999 | $142.71 |
| 08-02 15:05 | Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.7 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 15:02 | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.99 | $24.26 |
| 08-02 14:32 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.991 | $21.53 |
| 08-02 14:19 | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.4079601769 | $10.00 |