Flower777
0xf4e1ae82b2cae159f8ced27232342f27e4a5e83f
- Realised P&L
- $435.91
- Volume
- $107.5k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.400 | 0.365 | $662.21 | −$62.78 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.022 | $517.15 | +$50.98 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.325 | 0.296 | $213.85 | −$20.65 |
| Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.613 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$183.99 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.99 |
| Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.70 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$585.75at 0.166Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$69.05at 0.168Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$54.59at 0.775Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$49.50at 0.670Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$32.56at 0.860Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 08:53 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.59 | $177.00 |
| 07-30 08:47 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4199999994 | $300.00 |
| 07-13 15:05 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0233814167 | $3.62 |
| 07-07 18:42 | Will France win the World Cup? | SELL | 0.32 | $20.80 |
| 07-07 18:41 | Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? | SELL | 0.15 | $18.53 |
| 07-07 18:41 | Will Spain win the World Cup? | SELL | 0.1717100999 | $64.11 |
| 07-07 17:58 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1655632557 | $455.04 |
| 07-04 14:17 | Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 14:48 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8599999996 | $200.00 |
| 06-29 20:08 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.779999999 | $91.41 |
| 06-29 20:06 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.063 | $94.50 |
| 06-28 10:16 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7699999997 | $96.44 |
| 06-28 06:22 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2132108848 | $135.00 |
| 06-27 18:50 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.8599999996 | $200.00 |
| 06-27 18:50 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.101 | $180.36 |