0xF4fE4AeeA49C54aA73Ec946ab2Eebd02eE42F6E7-1757776368556
0xf4fe4aeea49c54aa73ec946ab2eebd02ee42f6e7
- Realised P&L
- $-817.60
- Volume
- $207.5k
- Markets traded
- 6,993
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,993
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$244.88at 0.675Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$230.63at 0.906French election called by October 10?
- +$112.79at 0.944Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
- +$85.81at 0.910Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?
- +$64.68at 0.963Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:01 | Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.9579999969 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 18:00 | Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.9579999866 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 13:53 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9779999941 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 10:00 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.962 | $4.99 |
| 08-02 07:00 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m? | BUY | 0.987 | $29.99 |
| 08-02 04:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.12 |
| 08-02 03:00 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m? | BUY | 0.995 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 22:00 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 19:00 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 19:00 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 280m and 290m? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 16:00 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 16:00 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 280m and 290m? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 05:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on August 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.82 |
| 08-01 04:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.72 |
| 07-31 18:00 | Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.96 | $43.20 |