12lddd
0xf503627922c01997259ea727bcb17e8ef49a39e2
- Realised P&L
- $870.05
- Volume
- $1.80M
- Markets traded
- 3,629
- Open portfolio
- $57.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,629
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.99at 0.039Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?
- +$128.50at 0.032Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$122.61at 0.005Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$109.11at 0.058Will anyone say "National Guard" 5+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?
- +$105.36at 0.005Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 00:55 | Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | SELL | 0.058 | $0.47 |
| 05-28 15:39 | Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North? | SELL | 0.6 | $4.28 |
| 05-22 22:45 | Will Khamzat Chimaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.07 |
| 05-21 01:12 | Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 05-20 15:02 | Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South? | SELL | 0.72 | $4.65 |
| 05-20 09:18 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $5.07 |
| 05-20 06:30 | Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West? | SELL | 0.7 | $4.93 |
| 05-19 18:54 | Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before July? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.88 |
| 05-19 12:33 | Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 05-15 16:20 | Will FURIA make a roster change before July? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.90 |
| 05-15 01:42 | Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South? | SELL | 0.71 | $4.79 |
| 05-14 23:22 | Will Washington Mystics win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.21 |
| 05-14 23:22 | Will Washington Mystics win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.22 |
| 05-14 23:17 | AD Confiança vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.68 | $4.57 |
| 05-14 21:31 | Will Uloma Ekpete Kama be the Republican nominee for GA-11? | SELL | 0.0080304569 | $0.16 |