PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

KaelenTaylor

0xf54e05b2b3a7c0144eceab4df4826a8bc7ad30f1

Realised P&L
$3.2k
Volume
$9.7k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$18.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar33.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.7000.755$8.38+$0.61
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15? · Yes0.7200.565$5.69$1.56
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m? · Yes0.7800.425$4.54$3.79
FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr? · No0.3000.000$0.00$2.00
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 · Under0.4900.000$0.00$60.00
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$584.00
Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? · No0.2200.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 08:02Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.7$7.77
08-01 08:02Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?BUY0.7799999925$8.33
08-01 08:01Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?BUY0.7199999762$7.25
07-02 13:34Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5BUY0.5424999999$2.7k
07-02 13:00Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4399999997$584.00
07-01 22:31Spread: United States (-1.5)BUY0.4899999999$1.5k
06-07 12:32FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?BUY0.299999925$2.00
06-07 12:32Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?BUY0.2199999531$3.00
05-25 11:12Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5BUY0.4899999982$60.00
05-15 05:42Starmer out by May 31, 2026?BUY0.86$10.00
05-15 05:42Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.8$10.00
04-24 17:49Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Cilic (+1.5)BUY0.5$42.64
04-22 18:16San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5BUY0.5399999906$23.41
03-23 07:43Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?BUY0.9299997768$2.00
03-23 07:42Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?BUY0.9879999974$3.00