PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740

0xf5592765133941c40c77e52bc56bbe7ec167f462

Realised P&L
$256.6k
Volume
$11.20M
Markets traded
524
Open portfolio
$128.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded524
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Philadelphia Phillies0.5701.000$35.2k+$15.1k
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4400.445$19.4k+$217.94
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.8200.755$18.4k$1.6k
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.8150.851$15.6k+$654.10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.4020.425$9.3k+$509.55
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7130.655$7.9k$699.25
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7110.795$4.6k+$491.59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6800.825$4.1k+$725.00
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5040.505$3.4k+$3.59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.3800.675$3.4k+$1.5k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4000.640$3.2k+$1.2k
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3390.330$3.1k$86.57
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4200.445$814.51+$44.91
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3420.320$407.14$28.61
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) · Athletics0.5870.001$18.73$22.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:02Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)BUY0.5873287222$22.0k
08-02 20:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.999$9.2k
08-02 19:58Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)BUY0.6379458145$10.0k
08-02 19:58San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.46$30.0k
08-02 19:55Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.79$54.3k
08-02 16:16Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.57$20.1k
08-02 16:13St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5BUY0.53$20.0k
08-02 09:34Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.8394270216$3.6k
08-02 08:09Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.79$20.0k
08-02 08:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.42$5.0k
08-01 21:11Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.79$1.1k
08-01 21:07Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3424851452$435.75
08-01 21:06Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5044671813$3.4k
08-01 21:00Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.44$19.2k
08-01 20:42Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3393316252$3.1k