0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740
0xf5592765133941c40c77e52bc56bbe7ec167f462
- Realised P&L
- $256.6k
- Volume
- $11.20M
- Markets traded
- 524
- Open portfolio
- $128.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded524
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$166.1kat 0.123Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$25.6kat 0.540Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$22.2kat 0.687Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
- +$20.5kat 0.660Spread: Colombia (-1.5)
- +$19.2kat 0.610Spread: England (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:02 | Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5873287222 | $22.0k |
| 08-02 20:01 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.2k |
| 08-02 19:58 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6379458145 | $10.0k |
| 08-02 19:58 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.46 | $30.0k |
| 08-02 19:55 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $54.3k |
| 08-02 16:16 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.57 | $20.1k |
| 08-02 16:13 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $20.0k |
| 08-02 09:34 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.8394270216 | $3.6k |
| 08-02 08:09 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.79 | $20.0k |
| 08-02 08:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.42 | $5.0k |
| 08-01 21:11 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.79 | $1.1k |
| 08-01 21:07 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3424851452 | $435.75 |
| 08-01 21:06 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5044671813 | $3.4k |
| 08-01 21:00 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.44 | $19.2k |
| 08-01 20:42 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3393316252 | $3.1k |