PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

smartiz1989

0xf66bb1374fc6bcece37b9f562eb5f5bedc95b1d1

Realised P&L
$-8.7k
Volume
$757.9k
Markets traded
302
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded302
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2710.165$1.4k$926.50
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes0.5420.145$594.76$1.6k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2510.075$386.51$907.12
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 3? · No0.9800.990$248.72+$2.51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2420.095$190.00$295.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.3960.188$189.48$210.52
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.4050.220$175.99$147.99
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3? · Yes0.9300.950$10.50+$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1? · No0.6190.001$0.05$65.70
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 · Over0.7900.000$0.00$158.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$7.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25? · Yes0.9660.000$0.00$82.80
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? · No0.0170.000$0.00$46.36
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00$16.07
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 04:02Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?BUY0.93$10.28
08-03 02:04Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 3?BUY0.98$122.50
08-02 16:00Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3?SELL0.999$272.45
08-02 15:52Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 2?SELL0.999$99.90
08-02 15:48Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?BUY0.98$218.06
08-02 15:48Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?BUY0.97$48.50
08-02 15:18Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?BUY0.87$43.50
08-02 15:14Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3?BUY0.99$249.96
08-02 14:59Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?BUY0.998$49.90
08-02 14:42Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 1?SELL0.999$114.89
08-02 14:41Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?SELL0.999$169.83
08-02 14:40Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 1?SELL0.999$93.86
08-02 14:40Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 1?SELL0.999$67.93
08-02 14:40Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 31?SELL0.999$332.08
08-01 17:35Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?BUY0.998$169.66