smartiz1989
0xf66bb1374fc6bcece37b9f562eb5f5bedc95b1d1
- Realised P&L
- $-8.7k
- Volume
- $757.9k
- Markets traded
- 302
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded302
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.301Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
- +$1.3kat 0.472Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$929.65at 0.642Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$892.71at 0.130Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$615.99at 0.380Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.93 | $10.28 |
| 08-03 02:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.98 | $122.50 |
| 08-02 16:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $272.45 |
| 08-02 15:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-02 15:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $218.06 |
| 08-02 15:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.97 | $48.50 |
| 08-02 15:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 08-02 15:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $249.96 |
| 08-02 14:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 08-02 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 08-02 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $169.83 |
| 08-02 14:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $93.86 |
| 08-02 14:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $67.93 |
| 08-02 14:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $332.08 |
| 08-01 17:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $169.66 |