PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Aaa1100

0xf66c6583ecec9fb3929e85804db22eea2be258b9

Realised P&L
$547.25
Volume
$193.9k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.3730.200$1.1k$973.31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · Yes0.0790.001$0.63$99.37
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$10.00
Trump out as President by July 31? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$20.00
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5 · Under0.0910.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET · Down0.0500.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$110.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$20.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$50.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$50.00
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$158.99
Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Leyre Romero Gormaz · Leyre Romero Gormaz0.0800.000$0.00$10.00
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$50.00
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$20.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.1910.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 18:56Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.3821588081$2.0k
07-31 15:29Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.25$100.00
07-31 15:29Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.0099674463$100.00
07-30 00:56Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0324471304$43.44
07-30 00:55Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.0520093811$79.34
07-24 15:39Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.2299999986$117.00
07-23 19:41Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-07-23?BUY0.0699999979$30.00
07-23 13:22Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Leyre Romero GormazBUY0.08$10.00
07-21 20:49Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-21?BUY0.008999991$1.00
07-21 20:48Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-21?BUY0.0208315974$11.00
07-21 20:43Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-21?BUY0.0402313436$86.43
07-21 20:37Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-21?BUY0.1499999976$50.00
07-21 19:13KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 0.5BUY0.1$3.00
07-20 16:24Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?SELL0.140240001$116.87
07-19 21:46Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0949999961$20.00