sacapara
0xf686243253b6db7297f92e733401f699de29c793
- Realised P&L
- $-213.39
- Volume
- $107.0k
- Markets traded
- 554
- Open portfolio
- $16.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded554
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.29at 0.135Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
- +$18.73at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
- +$17.25at 0.496Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
- +$17.00at 0.150Will Trump say "Truth" this week?
- +$16.97at 0.364Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 11:20 | Will Elon post "Iran" or "Iranian" on X this week? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 20:13 | Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 20:13 | Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 16:32 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 16:29 | Will Trump say "No No No" this week? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 16:29 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 16:28 | Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 16:28 | Will Trump say "Socialist" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.5299997376 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 16:28 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 16:27 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 16:27 | Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 16:26 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 16:23 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during Announcement with the Secretary of Transportation? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 08:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | SELL | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 07-29 08:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |