PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

sacapara

0xf686243253b6db7297f92e733401f699de29c793

Realised P&L
$-213.39
Volume
$107.0k
Markets traded
554
Open portfolio
$16.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded554
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31? · No0.0960.083$3.59$0.58
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes0.0900.028$3.06$6.94
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31? · Yes0.0500.039$2.48$0.69
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1150.065$1.93$1.47
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.4040.200$1.48$1.52
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 140m by August 31? · Yes0.0140.014$1.00+$0.00
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.1400.105$0.84$0.28
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1300.105$0.81$0.19
Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week? · Yes0.2600.115$0.44$0.56
Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week? · Yes0.2500.095$0.38$0.62
Will Trump say "No No No" this week? · Yes0.4000.130$0.32$0.68
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week? · Yes0.2000.050$0.25$0.75
Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31? · Yes0.0670.015$0.23$0.77
Will Trump say "Epstein" this week? · Yes0.1400.019$0.14$0.86
Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week? · Yes0.2000.006$0.03$0.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 11:20Will Elon post "Iran" or "Iranian" on X this week?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
07-29 20:13Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31?BUY0.05$1.00
07-29 20:13Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31?BUY0.05$2.00
07-29 16:32Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.002$1.00
07-29 16:29Will Trump say "No No No" this week?BUY0.4$1.00
07-29 16:29Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
07-29 16:28Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-29 16:28Will Trump say "Socialist" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.5299997376$2.00
07-29 16:28Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
07-29 16:27Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.579999826$1.00
07-29 16:27Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
07-29 16:26Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.77$1.00
07-29 16:23Will Trump say "Transgender" during Announcement with the Secretary of Transportation?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
07-29 08:31Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETSELL0.88$4.40
07-29 08:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETBUY0.2099998677$1.00