0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7
- Realised P&L
- $1.89M
- Volume
- $84.22M
- Markets traded
- 2,055
- Open portfolio
- $381.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,055
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.8kat 0.405Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?
- +$103.7kat 0.355Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$81.5kat 0.691Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$76.4kat 0.149Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?
- +$72.4kat 0.372Will Solana dip to $110 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:31 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August? | BUY | 0.56 | $239.68 |
| 08-02 22:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.061 | $128.18 |
| 08-02 22:04 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August? | BUY | 0.63 | $387.45 |
| 08-02 22:01 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August? | BUY | 0.63 | $386.82 |
| 08-02 21:46 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August? | BUY | 0.64 | $240.64 |
| 08-02 21:45 | Will Solana reach $90 in August? | BUY | 0.1304761905 | $13.70 |
| 08-02 21:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.4369943795 | $145.39 |
| 08-02 21:42 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August? | BUY | 0.97 | $291.00 |
| 08-02 21:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4985709628 | $348.62 |
| 08-02 21:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? | BUY | 0.25 | $95.00 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August? | BUY | 0.2 | $54.00 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.41 |
| 08-02 16:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.75 | $714.49 |
| 08-02 15:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.88 | $5.0k |
| 08-02 14:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? | SELL | 0.21 | $28.51 |