meteoblue
0xf73f7e9c6bd1f40dc045d2a93bec3dd4248aee53
- Realised P&L
- $15.5k
- Volume
- $2.82M
- Markets traded
- 5,685
- Open portfolio
- $14.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,685
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.6kat 0.836US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$4.2kat 0.190Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$4.2kat 0.011Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on July 21?
- +$3.2kat 0.091Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?
- +$3.0kat 0.638 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.20 |
| 08-02 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.69 |
| 08-02 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.19 | $26.33 |
| 08-02 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.065 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 23:16 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.13 | $26.83 |
| 08-02 23:16 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.068 | $20.52 |
| 08-02 22:53 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.81 |
| 08-02 22:51 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.27 | $11.07 |
| 08-02 22:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.63 |
| 08-02 22:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.028 | $0.14 |
| 08-02 22:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.49 |
| 08-02 21:54 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 08-02 21:26 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 08-02 21:26 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 08-02 21:26 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |