PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

meteoblue

0xf73f7e9c6bd1f40dc045d2a93bec3dd4248aee53

Realised P&L
$15.5k
Volume
$2.82M
Markets traded
5,685
Open portfolio
$14.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,685
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.6490.735$12.4k+$1.5k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.6990.325$519.00$596.45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 2? · No0.5101.000$199.90+$97.90
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2? · No0.6451.000$199.90+$70.90
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 3? · No0.5300.560$112.00+$6.00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 2? · No0.5101.000$99.95+$48.95
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 3? · Yes0.0100.045$90.00+$70.00
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 3? · Yes0.1700.285$87.18+$35.16
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 3? · Yes0.1800.185$59.92+$1.62
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 3? · Yes0.0240.026$52.00+$4.55
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 3? · No0.4900.485$48.49$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3? · Yes0.3070.285$41.50$3.26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3? · Yes0.0960.105$41.21+$3.68
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on August 3? · Yes0.0110.019$38.00+$16.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3? · Yes0.0990.075$34.02$11.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:45Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 3?BUY0.15$4.20
08-02 23:17Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 3?BUY0.02$0.69
08-02 23:17Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.19$26.33
08-02 23:17Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 3?BUY0.065$1.10
08-02 23:16Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.13$26.83
08-02 23:16Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 3?BUY0.068$20.52
08-02 22:53Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 3?BUY0.04$5.81
08-02 22:51Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 3?BUY0.27$11.07
08-02 22:22Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.09$0.63
08-02 22:22Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 3?BUY0.028$0.14
08-02 22:20Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3?BUY0.1$4.49
08-02 21:54Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.17$17.00
08-02 21:26Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 3?BUY0.28$2.80
08-02 21:26Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 3?BUY0.1$0.50
08-02 21:26Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.13$1.04