Chillinvillian
0xf7c4415e79a85796cb74eeb137bc6dc704a35919
- Realised P&L
- $-25.8k
- Volume
- $5.25M
- Markets traded
- 3,259
- Open portfolio
- $3.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,259
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles | 0.008 | 0.001 | $1.99 | −$30.01 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.033 | 0.001 | $1.02 | −$67.40 |
| Brewers vs. Reds · Reds | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Kings vs. Celtics · Kings | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Padres vs. Cubs · Padres | 0.077 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.00 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A · PARIVISION | 0.265 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$142.00 |
| UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims) · Kopylov | 0.121 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.00 |
| Rays vs. Orioles · Orioles | 0.156 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| Astros vs. Red Sox · Astros | 0.172 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.00 |
| New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.08 |
| Stars vs. Ducks · Stars | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.95 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.28 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers · Canucks | 0.099 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
| Rockets vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.9kat 0.011Sharks vs. Penguins
- +$5.1kat 0.020Hawks vs. Suns
- +$4.1kat 0.010Cavaliers vs. Knicks
- +$3.5kat 0.016Titans vs. Cardinals
- +$2.9kat 0.034Pirates vs. Rockies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:10 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.0098003322 | $29.74 |
| 08-02 22:06 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.0259885584 | $11.36 |
| 08-02 22:05 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.03 | $19.30 |
| 08-02 21:59 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.0399827363 | $23.16 |
| 08-02 21:55 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.0379999974 | $14.61 |
| 08-02 21:19 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.008 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 21:17 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.0080360013 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 04:01 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.0154380356 | $21.73 |
| 08-02 03:49 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.0182632307 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 03:37 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.0599999971 | $18.58 |
| 08-02 03:34 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.0599999981 | $28.00 |
| 08-02 03:00 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.0259999983 | $15.12 |
| 08-02 02:58 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.0250587659 | $12.78 |
| 08-02 02:46 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.0122616655 | $18.64 |
| 08-02 01:46 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.0189637166 | $23.52 |