PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xf86c59be1647c84ceb1d14aedd6e77f1e1740f22

Realised P&L
$-28.47
Volume
$28.7k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · No0.9940.988$1.2k$7.50
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0140.013$47.25$1.75
Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over0.0010.000$0.00$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 19:08Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in July 2026?SELL0.999$33.97
07-13 21:22World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?BUY0.996$1.2k
07-04 17:34Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$1.2k
06-29 09:57Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$1.1k
06-22 21:23Will Qatar reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.9988333333$1.2k
06-16 18:26Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?BUY0.9986$249.65
06-16 18:25Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?BUY0.998$199.60
06-16 18:25Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?BUY0.999$142.40
06-16 18:24Will White House post 60-79 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?BUY0.9975067578$197.06
06-16 18:24Will White House post 40-59 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?BUY0.999$169.83
06-16 18:22Will White House post 20-39 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?BUY0.999$255.74
06-12 17:12SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY0.999$599.40
06-10 00:12Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.011$44.00
06-10 00:11Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.016$32.00
06-09 18:09Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY0.999$499.50