PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

newbie77

0xf8871f87fbb32d5ce21e3f8902f70f4f0f266b54

Realised P&L
$5.4k
Volume
$244.5k
Markets traded
329
Open portfolio
$29.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded329
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8710.885$8.8k+$140.05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No0.9490.961$4.3k+$50.48
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8190.895$2.4k+$206.01
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8830.945$1.4k+$92.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.935$1.1k+$113.48
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No0.9700.975$974.50+$4.60
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? · Yes0.3670.465$929.94+$195.13
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? · Yes0.4190.490$917.57+$132.43
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9080.915$915.01+$7.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9150.905$905.00$10.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7210.860$860.00+$139.25
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? · No0.9290.964$799.97+$29.04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8360.835$667.98$1.00
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.9170.935$561.00+$10.50
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No0.9060.982$556.36+$42.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:32Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.9599978048$962.11
08-02 17:31Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.88$88.00
08-02 17:28Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$368.00
08-02 17:28Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9696729996$296.54
08-02 17:25Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?SELL0.47$235.00
08-02 17:23Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?SELL0.5015253305$314.51
08-01 19:36Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1400.00 and 1449.99 at the end of December 2026?SELL0.9922$80.37
08-01 19:28Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$180.00
08-01 19:27Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$182.00
07-31 16:47Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%?SELL0.995$5.99
07-31 16:47Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%?SELL0.989$78.83
07-31 00:34Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?BUY0.4073410982$628.12
07-31 00:33Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?BUY0.4286970314$791.37
07-31 00:30Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.86$430.00
07-31 00:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?SELL0.998$1.1k