newbie77
0xf8871f87fbb32d5ce21e3f8902f70f4f0f266b54
- Realised P&L
- $5.4k
- Volume
- $244.5k
- Markets traded
- 329
- Open portfolio
- $29.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded329
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$426.70at 0.147Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$382.72at 0.862Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1460.00 and 1479.99 at the end of January 2026?
- +$208.94at 0.925Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
- +$191.45at 0.897Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
- +$145.59at 0.961Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 30% and 32.9% in January 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:32 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.9599978048 | $962.11 |
| 08-02 17:31 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 08-02 17:28 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $368.00 |
| 08-02 17:28 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9696729996 | $296.54 |
| 08-02 17:25 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? | SELL | 0.47 | $235.00 |
| 08-02 17:23 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | SELL | 0.5015253305 | $314.51 |
| 08-01 19:36 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1400.00 and 1449.99 at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.9922 | $80.37 |
| 08-01 19:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $180.00 |
| 08-01 19:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 07-31 16:47 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.99 |
| 07-31 16:47 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%? | SELL | 0.989 | $78.83 |
| 07-31 00:34 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? | BUY | 0.4073410982 | $628.12 |
| 07-31 00:33 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | BUY | 0.4286970314 | $791.37 |
| 07-31 00:30 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $430.00 |
| 07-31 00:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.1k |