PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

homerkhan

0xf8eb681fb8909496dc15aea5b233b310e2db8473

Realised P&L
$468.90
Volume
$2.88M
Markets traded
208
Open portfolio
$53.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded208
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2040.115$25.30$19.50
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0340.015$7.60$9.22
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0090.003$5.57$10.35
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? · No0.0190.001$4.75$86.92
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? · No0.1370.007$3.90$72.49
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m? · Yes0.0090.001$1.61$28.61
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.0230.010$1.21$1.54
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m? · Yes0.0260.001$0.79$39.90
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 280m and 290m? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m? · Yes0.0510.001$0.33$33.47
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m? · Yes0.0290.001$0.33$18.67
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25$0.75
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25$0.75
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m? · Yes0.1010.001$0.23$45.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 08:15Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.0419713712$12.55
08-01 15:21Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.28$28.00
08-01 15:14Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 280m and 290m?BUY0.001$0.02
08-01 15:14Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m?BUY0.001$0.04
08-01 15:12Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?BUY0.002$0.41
08-01 14:52Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?BUY0.002$4.55
08-01 02:16Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?BUY0.0038955885$1.59
07-31 14:30Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.021$4.20
07-31 13:14Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.082$20.46
07-31 02:11Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.012$120.47
07-30 15:19Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.73$5.84
07-29 04:28Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?BUY0.172$23.22
07-26 22:36Yoon out of custody before 2027?SELL0.886$266.42
07-26 22:35Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.78$450.36
07-26 19:21Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.34$11.73