homerkhan
0xf8eb681fb8909496dc15aea5b233b310e2db8473
- Realised P&L
- $468.90
- Volume
- $2.88M
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $53.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.036Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$1.9kat 0.231Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
- +$929.48at 0.029Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$599.51at 0.062Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$492.95at 0.077Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 08:15 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.0419713712 | $12.55 |
| 08-01 15:21 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 08-01 15:14 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 280m and 290m? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-01 15:14 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-01 15:12 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.41 |
| 08-01 14:52 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.55 |
| 08-01 02:16 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m? | BUY | 0.0038955885 | $1.59 |
| 07-31 14:30 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.021 | $4.20 |
| 07-31 13:14 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.082 | $20.46 |
| 07-31 02:11 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $120.47 |
| 07-30 15:19 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.73 | $5.84 |
| 07-29 04:28 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | BUY | 0.172 | $23.22 |
| 07-26 22:36 | Yoon out of custody before 2027? | SELL | 0.886 | $266.42 |
| 07-26 22:35 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.78 | $450.36 |
| 07-26 19:21 | Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $11.73 |