Abdul20
0xf8f91b1fe15656e62dfbf3e2b042dc6e50c1a476
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $53.9k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $13.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$286.06at 0.068Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026?
- +$190.20at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
- +$137.75at 0.177Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
- +$122.06at 0.170Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
- +$107.50at 0.314Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:18 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0419999612 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 16:17 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 14:58 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1135354955 | $185.03 |
| 08-01 14:18 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1569396763 | $70.00 |
| 08-01 14:17 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.2870190504 | $300.00 |
| 08-01 13:57 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.163041477 | $143.90 |
| 08-01 13:57 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999979 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 13:56 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1350708852 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 16:18 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.0397945105 | $91.96 |
| 07-31 14:31 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0240000002 | $4.85 |
| 07-31 14:31 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0297297297 | $11.00 |
| 07-31 14:29 | Will Trump’s remarks not air? | BUY | 0.0231630422 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 14:25 | Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0283038631 | $25.00 |
| 07-31 14:17 | Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0189999969 | $6.00 |
| 07-31 14:09 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last at least 15 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0180322376 | $20.00 |