PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SaturnAurum

0xfa199cceac2ce599c3d142b36586f7b76682f082

Realised P&L
$-3.01
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
167
Open portfolio
$45.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded167
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2360.420$17.77+$7.77
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3580.570$15.91+$5.91
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2540.260$5.12+$0.12
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.2830.110$3.89$6.11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.5400.195$1.81$3.19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.4770.055$1.15$8.85
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5980.000$0.00$5.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5270.000$0.00$6.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims) · Alexander Hernandez0.5300.000$0.00$2.96
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Cory Sandhagen0.5600.000$0.00$4.00
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$2.00
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card) · Charles Johnson0.2700.000$0.00$3.00
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Rob Font0.3000.000$0.00$5.00
UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Tai Tuivasa0.6800.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 15:53UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.6899999425$3.00
07-31 15:52UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)BUY0.64$3.00
07-31 15:51UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.4099999446$2.00
07-31 15:46UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)BUY0.64$3.00
07-31 15:46UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.48$3.00
07-31 15:39UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.2599999646$5.00
07-24 15:38Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.2539999669$5.00
07-24 15:29UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.4899999804$5.00
07-19 14:08Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4089999376$3.00
07-19 14:07Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4124999347$3.00
07-15 15:35Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3599999376$3.00
07-14 10:31Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.29999997$5.00
07-11 14:32UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.5099999566$2.00
07-11 14:28Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2574998185$1.00
07-11 14:28Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.25$1.00