PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xfac0cba410d5d2bda360b74b8cbf51241ff7fdd8

Realised P&L
$58.41
Volume
$22.8k
Markets traded
450
Open portfolio
$530.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded450
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 11:00Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.81$202.26
06-15 01:00Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.85$4.25
05-31 01:39Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$9.44
05-31 01:39Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06$8.20
05-31 00:55MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7167696383$31.11
05-30 21:45Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.58$21.07
05-30 21:22Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.2576209588$11.55
05-30 21:22Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$8.90
05-30 21:22Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?BUY0.07$8.47
05-30 21:22US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.37$13.92
05-30 21:22Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.14$51.97
05-30 21:22New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.1$69.91
05-27 16:12US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?BUY0.79$42.32
05-27 16:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.18$10.40
05-27 16:12New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.12$9.44