0xfac0cba410d5d2bda360b74b8cbf51241ff7fdd8
- Realised P&L
- $58.41
- Volume
- $22.8k
- Markets traded
- 450
- Open portfolio
- $530.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded450
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$140.23at 0.701MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$125.33at 0.060BitBoy convicted?
- +$108.77at 0.374Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$40.15at 0.130US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$38.99at 0.620US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 11:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $202.26 |
| 06-15 01:00 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 05-31 01:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $9.44 |
| 05-31 01:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $8.20 |
| 05-31 00:55 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7167696383 | $31.11 |
| 05-30 21:45 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.58 | $21.07 |
| 05-30 21:22 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2576209588 | $11.55 |
| 05-30 21:22 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $8.90 |
| 05-30 21:22 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $8.47 |
| 05-30 21:22 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.37 | $13.92 |
| 05-30 21:22 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $51.97 |
| 05-30 21:22 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $69.91 |
| 05-27 16:12 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $42.32 |
| 05-27 16:12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $10.40 |
| 05-27 16:12 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $9.44 |