PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MuchAdo2BRN2B

0xfad4fb17d54b6d600d6cc912d433e73c252ca210

Realised P&L
$-7.6k
Volume
$1.18M
Markets traded
869
Open portfolio
$759.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded869
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9000.935$215.04+$7.95
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.1640.075$160.50$191.09
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No0.9180.972$97.14+$5.35
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8600.956$95.60+$9.55
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.2600.650$64.99+$39.00
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.5470.345$41.39$24.21
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8400.875$26.25+$1.05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8000.925$18.50+$2.50
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0850.060$12.00$5.00
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.8300.968$9.68+$1.38
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.6650.310$6.20$7.10
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? · No0.5300.525$5.25$0.05
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0580.030$3.96$3.56
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.545$2.73+$0.82
Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$40.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 06:39Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.56$56.00
07-12 06:21Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.26$11.09
07-12 06:12Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?BUY0.1$50.00
07-12 06:12Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.069$1.38
07-03 19:07Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$1.87
07-03 19:07Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.056$1.59
05-27 07:11Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?BUY0.93$15.81
05-27 07:00Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by May 31?BUY0.9$25.99
04-22 19:22Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?BUY0.17$105.40
04-22 19:16Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?BUY0.26$1.30
04-22 19:15Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?BUY0.05$32.75
04-22 19:12Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.92$46.00
04-22 19:03Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL0.993$129.09
04-22 18:53US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?BUY0.967$38.68
04-08 07:05Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.67$6.70