ChovyH
0xfb476f387cc7c45e00639d50d6773ef24da60eca
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $47.8k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.396 | 0.230 | $4.3k | −$3.1k |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$294.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 19? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 19? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$868.39at 0.730US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$-29.90at 0.360UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$-160.00at 0.185Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 14:02 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.3396074667 | $499.00 |
| 07-01 02:28 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.4191616765 | $1000.00 |
| 06-30 13:27 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.4114307809 | $991.00 |
| 06-29 02:10 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.3951487576 | $5.0k |
| 06-16 08:47 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.5029637589 | $5.0k |
| 06-06 16:55 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.4031200933 | $998.31 |
| 06-04 16:25 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.4499999999 | $1.4k |
| 06-03 08:05 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.4870581731 | $2.1k |
| 04-27 22:16 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.983 | $3.4k |
| 04-21 15:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $294.00 |
| 04-21 15:20 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7295763204 | $2.5k |
| 02-14 08:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 19? | BUY | 0.1310202307 | $51.00 |
| 02-14 07:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 19? | BUY | 0.185027388 | $160.00 |
| 02-14 07:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 19? | BUY | 0.2467750981 | $88.00 |
| 01-22 09:05 | UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3599999947 | $29.90 |