StudentMoney
0xfb5148fc7223630e0967dbfa8cd920d83ab4742d
- Realised P&L
- $-52.0k
- Volume
- $23.70M
- Markets traded
- 1,503
- Open portfolio
- $274.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,503
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.1kat 0.726Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
- +$14.3kat 0.626Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
- +$12.0kat 0.400Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$11.5kat 0.400France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$11.5kat 0.669Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:18 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.84 | $457.39 |
| 08-03 05:17 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.811 | $376.47 |
| 08-02 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.29 |
| 08-02 18:35 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.7k |
| 08-02 18:35 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $114.27 |
| 08-02 18:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.87 |
| 08-02 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.58 | $63.80 |
| 08-02 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.69 | $135.25 |
| 08-02 10:35 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8285175202 | $153.69 |
| 08-02 08:02 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.921 | $912.88 |
| 08-01 22:04 | Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.815801931 | $548.37 |
| 08-01 22:03 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.918 | $328.35 |
| 08-01 17:48 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.923 | $919.89 |
| 08-01 09:55 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.92 | $117.68 |
| 08-01 03:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.7839258101 | $706.69 |