PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

StudentMoney

0xfb5148fc7223630e0967dbfa8cd920d83ab4742d

Realised P&L
$-52.0k
Volume
$23.70M
Markets traded
1,503
Open portfolio
$274.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,503
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:18Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.84$457.39
08-03 05:17Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.811$376.47
08-02 19:40Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?BUY0.89$7.29
08-02 18:35US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.77$3.7k
08-02 18:35US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.76$114.27
08-02 18:34Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?BUY0.91$10.87
08-02 15:09Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2?BUY0.58$63.80
08-02 15:03Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 2?BUY0.69$135.25
08-02 10:35Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8285175202$153.69
08-02 08:02Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.921$912.88
08-01 22:04Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.815801931$548.37
08-01 22:03Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.918$328.35
08-01 17:48Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.923$919.89
08-01 09:55Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.92$117.68
08-01 03:47Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 2?BUY0.7839258101$706.69