Mld1pwnz
0xfc59780cf8160a18c367dea2b4132079e241fdf0
- Realised P&L
- $-787.00
- Volume
- $13.5k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $556.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.851 | 0.560 | $392.00 | −$204.00 |
| Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.391 | 0.070 | $141.58 | −$649.00 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.026 | $15.60 | −$188.40 |
| Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.012 | $10.80 | −$232.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$270.00at 0.662US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$206.39at 0.630Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 15, 2026?
- +$118.02at 0.866US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$75.60at 0.811Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 31, 2026?
- +$71.99at 0.820Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 09:14 | Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.9771183727 | $880.00 |
| 04-21 10:00 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $207.06 |
| 04-21 10:00 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8687046632 | $335.32 |
| 03-20 13:15 | Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 03-20 13:15 | Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $198.80 |
| 03-20 13:15 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | SELL | 0.1541045 | $30.82 |
| 01-09 12:49 | Will Lighter reach $5.50 in January? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 01-08 17:49 | Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9370768183 | $147.25 |
| 12-06 17:40 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.018 | $4.48 |
| 09-05 20:24 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.7119999998 | $52.37 |
| 09-05 20:24 | Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $52.36 |
| 07-22 12:50 | Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.345325081 | $50.23 |
| 07-22 12:50 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 12:49 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.94 | $150.23 |
| 03-14 21:37 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.7799999964 | $124.66 |