PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xFc9DCC478c40bC61A3261978bc9f8C6BCC3F9d68-1767537044643

0xfc9dcc478c40bc61a3261978bc9f8c6bcc3f9d68

Realised P&L
$8.0k
Volume
$255.7k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$11.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1120.085$10.5k$3.3k
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1130.065$517.10$380.89
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay · Yes0.1390.095$294.27$135.72
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00$887.68
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$757.43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$199.99
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$136.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 12:56Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayBUY0.1393359019$420.00
07-24 12:49Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$410.44
07-24 12:42Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayBUY0.1199999899$10.00
07-05 15:44Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.127209554$737.00
07-05 15:43Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1086419535$4.00
07-05 15:43Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$736.83
07-02 11:36Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0738823529$157.00
06-26 14:46Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$110.00
05-25 19:24Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0201088497$111.00
05-25 19:22Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$111.07
05-25 19:16Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0164913096$26.00
05-09 17:44Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1153335079$8.7k
05-09 17:44Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1077159598$6.8k
05-09 17:40Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?SELL0.999$15.5k
04-15 10:58Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0635177947$987.51