0xfcabb052d56fbec1d30ae2786b9434c92a543376
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $84.6k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.065 | $3.0k | −$1.4k |
| Trump out as President by August 31? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.009 | $49.83 | −$7.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.03at 0.510Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$-2.62at 0.126Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-6.92at 0.039Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-7.96at 0.970Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5
- +$-20.00at 0.092Will JD Vance attend NATO Summit?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 07:15 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.0109326309 | $57.34 |
| 07-30 02:35 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $492.66 |
| 07-30 02:34 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $500.00 |
| 07-30 02:34 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $500.00 |
| 07-11 01:52 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.06 | $94.92 |
| 07-08 02:13 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0609999994 | $96.71 |
| 07-06 03:57 | Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.1099999966 | $28.08 |
| 07-06 03:56 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0579999982 | $30.00 |
| 07-06 02:41 | Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.051999985 | $3.24 |
| 07-06 02:29 | Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.0678196194 | $13.00 |
| 07-06 01:56 | Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.00 |
| 07-06 01:50 | Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.0900447116 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 22:49 | Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.1392844761 | $58.04 |
| 07-04 05:04 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0339999987 | $24.18 |
| 07-04 04:44 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0609999981 | $29.10 |