PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

surf

0xfd2b117412a698f322b0cd18d6827dad262b8e50

Realised P&L
$37.0k
Volume
$30.02M
Markets traded
790
Open portfolio
$327.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded790
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Max Holloway0.7001.000$100.0k+$30.0k
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · No0.9631.000$87.2k+$3.2k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Yes0.1561.000$41.5k+$35.0k
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · No0.6301.000$24.8k+$9.1k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.3231.000$22.0k+$14.9k
Will Trump attend his son's wedding? · No0.9511.000$14.8k+$733.05
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · No0.1101.000$12.7k+$11.3k
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · No0.2291.000$10.0k+$7.7k
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9200.965$5.1k+$236.09
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · Yes0.1000.024$2.4k$7.6k
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? · Yes0.3991.000$1.7k+$1.0k
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · No0.7501.000$1.5k+$383.35
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yes0.7491.000$1.1k+$278.08
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30? · Yes0.1601.000$769.11+$645.82
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky? · Yes0.8851.000$726.51+$83.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 17:39Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.244$3.6k
07-29 17:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.245$3.0k
07-29 17:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.2458042733$3.7k
07-29 17:21Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.236187866$3.5k
07-29 04:04Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.127$0.64
07-29 04:04Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.194$0.97
07-29 04:04Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.194$0.97
07-29 04:04Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.127$0.64
07-29 04:04Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.127$0.64
07-29 04:04Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.194$0.97
07-29 04:04Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.127$0.64
07-29 04:04Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.194$0.97
07-29 04:04Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.127$0.64
07-29 04:04Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.194$0.97
07-29 04:03Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.127$0.64