PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

KING-VIP23

0xfd66d7ed45d7962ad009e669cdaec9319e38fb6d

Realised P&L
$257.6k
Volume
$19.51M
Markets traded
3,238
Open portfolio
$5.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded3,238
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · No0.1240.125$2.0k+$7.90
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes0.2270.140$1.4k$870.97
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes0.2150.205$1.0k$49.99
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0420.036$635.85$91.30
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0410.021$290.83$275.22
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5 · Over0.4500.300$150.00$75.00
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 3 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC? · Yes0.0260.110$121.00+$92.40
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 3 - 2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC? · Yes0.0420.113$56.50+$35.50
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.015$46.49$193.47
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC? · Yes0.0200.147$34.22+$29.58
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0400.042$13.78+$0.50
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0050.007$12.64+$2.56
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0040.005$5.91+$1.29
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0040.004$4.25+$0.47
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2000.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:22Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.004$0.60
08-02 21:21Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.005$1.41
08-02 21:21Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.006$6.07
08-02 20:06US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?BUY0.018999068$160.84
08-02 19:05SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5SELL0.99$9.90
08-02 19:01SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5SELL0.2803446069$140.17
08-02 18:50SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 3.5SELL0.999$998.99
08-02 18:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.11$440.00
08-02 17:14Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 3.5BUY0.8$628.80
08-02 16:59Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 3.5SELL0.86$430.00
08-02 16:33KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5BUY0.19$514.93
08-02 16:22Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 3.5BUY0.31$155.00
08-02 16:17KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5BUY0.43$387.00
08-02 16:16Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5SELL0.99$495.00
08-02 16:16Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5SELL0.99$797.25