KING-VIP23
0xfd66d7ed45d7962ad009e669cdaec9319e38fb6d
- Realised P&L
- $257.6k
- Volume
- $19.51M
- Markets traded
- 3,238
- Open portfolio
- $5.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,238
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$195.2kat 0.037US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$129.5kat 0.189US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$94.8kat 0.078US military action against Iran by Saturday?
- +$17.5kat 0.124Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
- +$17.1kat 0.202US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:22 | Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.60 |
| 08-02 21:21 | Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.41 |
| 08-02 21:21 | Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $6.07 |
| 08-02 20:06 | US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.018999068 | $160.84 |
| 08-02 19:05 | SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-02 19:01 | SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.2803446069 | $140.17 |
| 08-02 18:50 | SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $998.99 |
| 08-02 18:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.11 | $440.00 |
| 08-02 17:14 | Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $628.80 |
| 08-02 16:59 | Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.86 | $430.00 |
| 08-02 16:33 | KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.19 | $514.93 |
| 08-02 16:22 | Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.31 | $155.00 |
| 08-02 16:17 | KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $387.00 |
| 08-02 16:16 | Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $495.00 |
| 08-02 16:16 | Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $797.25 |