0xfddffe105d4f06210021547f607ba9a2eb2f6cc3
- Realised P&L
- $-20.73
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $8.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.190 | $7.63 | −$3.62 |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.006 | $0.67 | −$2.47 |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.014 | $0.20 | −$0.80 |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 490m and 510m by August 31? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.002 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.86at 0.351Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$9.99at 0.730Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
- +$8.56at 0.365Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
- +$8.02at 0.775Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$7.88at 0.709Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:26 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999851 | $11.25 |
| 07-31 16:29 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting? | SELL | 0.0199156474 | $11.80 |
| 07-31 14:19 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.08 | $18.24 |
| 07-30 10:46 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.05 | $18.49 |
| 07-30 10:31 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 21:26 | Will Trump say "Transparent" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.524613431 | $9.99 |
| 07-29 21:07 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.0508681403 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 20:37 | Will Trump say "Venezuela" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.50 |
| 07-29 20:35 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 07-29 20:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $2.10 |
| 07-29 20:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.819999998 | $16.25 |
| 07-29 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999289 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 16:09 | Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.89 |
| 07-29 16:08 | Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.1299999686 | $3.11 |
| 07-29 16:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $6.48 |