GvLBV
0xfdf17710c572a46e992978d380cd27b1538c7195
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $32.4k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $740.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? · Yes | 0.158 | 0.562 | $735.96 | +$529.23 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? · Yes | 0.654 | 0.972 | $4.78 | +$1.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.590Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$-53.63at 0.165Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?
- +$-70.95at 0.111Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?
- +$-358.25at 0.051Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?
- +$-400.42at 0.534Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:15 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.575 | $23.00 |
| 08-03 07:15 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.574 | $26.69 |
| 08-03 06:58 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.964 | $348.00 |
| 08-03 06:52 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.97 | $5.64 |
| 08-03 06:52 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.974 | $21.93 |
| 08-02 18:33 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.1130997737 | $57.97 |
| 08-02 18:32 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.13 |
| 08-02 16:23 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.21 | $39.51 |
| 08-02 16:15 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.40 |
| 08-02 15:57 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.188 | $21.54 |
| 08-02 15:03 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 08-02 14:44 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.0591125311 | $3.33 |
| 08-02 14:33 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.0890163934 | $27.15 |
| 08-02 14:09 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.66 | $5.11 |
| 08-02 13:43 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.7274886517 | $59.30 |