PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Digital-Boy

0xfe41328c99802a1103d74514f71a16b0eee19f23

Realised P&L
$-31.6k
Volume
$2.15M
Markets traded
2,184
Open portfolio
$11.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,184
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5600.565$681.14+$5.91
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat? · No0.8600.845$660.79$11.73
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes0.9000.825$653.04$59.37
Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat? · Yes0.9200.925$555.00+$3.00
Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? · Yes0.9200.429$549.76$627.84
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? · Yes0.6100.535$526.68$73.83
Will LOUD Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 · No0.8890.618$492.23$216.42
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.3300.295$383.50$45.50
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat? · Yes0.8300.835$375.75+$2.25
Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes0.3350.275$363.71$80.16
Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? · Yes0.6300.360$281.98$211.48
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? · No0.9280.921$281.24$2.14
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · Yes0.4690.336$244.91$97.45
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by December 31? · Yes0.7900.945$240.97+$39.52
Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.4400.365$219.00$45.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 04:59Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?SELL0.49$1.94
07-31 02:04Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?SELL0.0316163541$2.06
07-27 22:06Iran full airspace closure by August 15?SELL0.18$0.34
07-27 19:10Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 10+ times during Michigan remarks?SELL0.21$0.03
07-27 13:58Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?SELL0.242$0.23
07-26 13:08Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?SELL0.61$6.10
07-25 01:53Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.736$2.60
07-25 01:06Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?SELL0.53$0.19
07-24 07:02US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.31$0.47
07-23 01:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.756$37.80
07-21 12:16Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?SELL0.17$0.48
07-19 21:06Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?SELL0.8$0.65
07-19 10:29Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 20?SELL0.61$2.80
07-18 01:21Will Pontus Nyholm finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?SELL0.9$31.50
07-17 13:35US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?SELL0.96$15.70