0xFe6bd9872614a7123781275901eDBf412095cA57-1768085182718
0xfe6bd9872614a7123781275901edbf412095ca57
- Realised P&L
- $5.38
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 155
- Open portfolio
- $53.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded155
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.90at 0.055Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$8.90at 0.110Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?
- +$8.90at 0.110Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$8.90at 0.110Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
- +$7.80at 0.220Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 22:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 07-24 22:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 07-24 22:35 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 07-22 10:48 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.101 | $1.01 |
| 07-21 10:51 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.098 | $1.08 |
| 07-12 22:30 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.051 | $0.29 |
| 07-12 22:29 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.056 | $1.01 |
| 07-12 22:28 | Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31? | SELL | 0.965 | $4.83 |
| 07-12 22:27 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 07-09 19:04 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 07-08 22:59 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.179 | $1.07 |
| 07-08 22:58 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 07-08 09:30 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 07-07 20:01 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 19:58 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |