PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Nanamo613

0xfecace78db874bf3c772d740c2f494c4f35af1ad

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$357.7k
Markets traded
657
Open portfolio
$41.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded657
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1590.158$15.75$0.15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1400.195$11.70+$3.30
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1700.155$4.56$0.44
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0900.075$3.00$0.60
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1210.106$2.12$0.30
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0150.013$1.30$0.20
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? · Yes0.0360.028$1.28$0.37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0250.021$1.05$0.20
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0300.017$0.82$0.68
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.42
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · No0.0110.000$0.00$1.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00$2.00
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 · Over0.7000.000$0.00$15.00
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-28? · Yes0.9500.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:35Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?BUY0.036$1.65
08-02 21:38Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.025$1.25
08-02 21:37Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.03$1.50
08-02 21:36Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?BUY0.09$3.60
08-02 21:33Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.2$8.00
07-19 12:11Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.045$2.03
07-18 21:50Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.015$1.50
07-18 21:46Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?BUY0.121$2.42
07-18 21:40Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.07$2.80
07-11 23:44Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?BUY0.059$1.47
07-11 21:32Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5BUY0.67$3.35
07-10 00:41Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsSELL0.04$0.40
07-07 20:16Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.998$15.59
07-07 19:01Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.159$15.90
07-07 18:54Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.06$3.00