Nanamo613
0xfecace78db874bf3c772d740c2f494c4f35af1ad
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $357.7k
- Markets traded
- 657
- Open portfolio
- $41.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded657
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$518.88at 0.008Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$95.00at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
- +$94.95at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
- +$93.00at 0.070Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$88.85at 0.090Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:35 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? | BUY | 0.036 | $1.65 |
| 08-02 21:38 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.25 |
| 08-02 21:37 | Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 08-02 21:36 | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.60 |
| 08-02 21:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $8.00 |
| 07-19 12:11 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.045 | $2.03 |
| 07-18 21:50 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.50 |
| 07-18 21:46 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.121 | $2.42 |
| 07-18 21:40 | Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.80 |
| 07-11 23:44 | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.059 | $1.47 |
| 07-11 21:32 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 07-10 00:41 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | SELL | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 07-07 20:16 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $15.59 |
| 07-07 19:01 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.159 | $15.90 |
| 07-07 18:54 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |