SheepToken
0xff72a6a01da59f9a8656e0ad39cdb048d0a4cdaa
- Realised P&L
- $50.8k
- Volume
- $2.23M
- Markets traded
- 506
- Open portfolio
- $12.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded506
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.0kat 0.995MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$10.7kat 0.466US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$8.6kat 0.253Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
- +$5.1kat 0.939Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$4.2kat 0.518Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 00:20 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 07-31 17:45 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.616 | $144.29 |
| 07-31 17:33 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.6719565337 | $389.88 |
| 07-31 17:19 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $118.16 |
| 07-31 15:53 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $118.16 |
| 07-31 05:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.0k |
| 07-31 01:31 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $397.19 |
| 07-13 18:14 | Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | BUY | 0.6899942667 | $1.0k |
| 07-12 03:02 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.72 | $504.00 |
| 07-12 02:54 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.71 | $213.00 |
| 07-12 02:52 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.185 | $92.50 |
| 07-12 02:49 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.172 | $1.72 |
| 07-12 01:50 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.209 | $228.08 |
| 07-12 01:49 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.006 | $6.00 |
| 07-12 01:20 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $8.00 |