PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SheepToken

0xff72a6a01da59f9a8656e0ad39cdb048d0a4cdaa

Realised P&L
$50.8k
Volume
$2.23M
Markets traded
506
Open portfolio
$12.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded506
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5700.635$6.3k+$650.00
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.2360.390$3.4k+$1.3k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.7700.785$1.0k+$19.50
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4800.475$950.00$10.00
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0700.119$179.25+$74.25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5800.230$115.00$175.00
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.230$23.00$28.00
Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0190.001$1.20$44.95
Will Matthew Bensilum win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0190.001$1.20$44.95
Will Giles Watling win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0190.001$1.20$44.95
Will Natasha Osben win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0190.001$1.20$44.95
Will John Stevens win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0190.001$1.20$44.95
Will Andrew Pemberton win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0190.001$1.20$44.95
Will William Clouston win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0190.001$1.20$44.95
Will Tony Mack win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0190.001$1.20$44.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 00:20Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5BUY0.69$69.00
07-31 17:45U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.616$144.29
07-31 17:33U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.6719565337$389.88
07-31 17:19Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.08$118.16
07-31 15:53Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.08$118.16
07-31 05:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.77$1.0k
07-31 01:31Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.48$397.19
07-13 18:14Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?BUY0.6899942667$1.0k
07-12 03:02UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.72$504.00
07-12 02:54UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.71$213.00
07-12 02:52Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.185$92.50
07-12 02:49Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.172$1.72
07-12 01:50Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.209$228.08
07-12 01:49Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.006$6.00
07-12 01:20Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.008$8.00