hokinado
0xffee18b118b9ea6c3062a4ce3aabd51cbcdaea6b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $35.2k
- Markets traded
- 525
- Open portfolio
- $45.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded525
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.58at 0.120Will Alan Campbell be in the Burnham cabinet?
- +$35.58at 0.130Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$32.14at 0.140Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
- +$29.14at 0.210Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?
- +$28.19at 0.220NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.5321091576 | $13.77 |
| 08-03 08:42 | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $20.05 |
| 08-03 08:06 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $550 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999908 | $14.94 |
| 08-03 07:53 | Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $0.96 |
| 08-03 07:38 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $153 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999963 | $14.35 |
| 08-03 07:16 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4299999872 | $9.10 |
| 08-02 23:52 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 08-02 19:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.7099999986 | $29.57 |
| 08-02 17:48 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.2040290089 | $5.06 |
| 08-02 17:48 | Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | BUY | 0.7716803495 | $39.93 |
| 08-02 17:39 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $0.09 |
| 08-02 16:06 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.62 | $11.31 |
| 08-02 16:06 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 08-02 15:59 | Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | BUY | 0.8229999967 | $31.26 |
| 08-02 15:27 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $470,000 and $478,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.1608272383 | $5.10 |