Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-31
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.94. up 0.06 over the period, from 0.89. Range 0.89 to 0.95. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.95	1,267	1,267
0.96	2,164	3,431
0.97	6,367	9,798
0.98	13,121	22,919
0.99	13,202	36,121

Spread0.01Mid0.94

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	8,103	8,103
0.93	6,150	14,253
0.92	2,984	17,237
0.91	7,819	25,056
0.90	2,833	27,889
0.89	13,819	41,708
0.88	33,801	75,509
0.87	25,973	101,482
0.85	250	101,732
0.84	8	101,741
0.82	274	102,014
0.81	50	102,064

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	8,103	8,103
0.07	6,150	14,253
0.08	2,984	17,237
0.09	7,819	25,056
0.10	2,833	27,889
0.11	13,819	41,708
0.12	33,801	75,509
0.13	25,973	101,482
0.15	250	101,732
0.16	8	101,741
0.18	274	102,014
0.19	50	102,064

Spread0.01Mid0.06

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.05	1,267	1,267
0.04	2,164	3,431
0.03	6,367	9,798
0.02	13,121	22,919
0.01	13,202	36,121

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
wwf123	Yes	5,380
wwf001	Yes	4,911.55
MoonLambo1205	Yes	3,125.77
momo513	Yes	2,980.58
SteveBlame	Yes	2,649.49
Salimjs	Yes	2,389.6
ggdajiba	Yes	2,277.3
Valen9	Yes	2,264.62
kxkxkx	Yes	2,150.54
bartholomew31	Yes	2,134.69
bmtr	Yes	1,980.23
0x6624…4cd1	Yes	1,663.85
yanping	Yes	1,436.56
suntori	Yes	1,408.37
0x12f47e2a4802445A579e25505562675A2da52e5e-1750605556602	Yes	1,304.35
JBL0203	Yes	1,218.04
0xf0ee2cFAEC57652bA202E476818eb228815C7d14-1722264740766	Yes	1,123.6
0x022C64C0C56Ef5789eF985DAE34A4f9A7E934873-1766949908478	Yes	1,112
Gamble.and.bankurpt	Yes	1,098.9
jinwujinshu	Yes	1,057.07

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:09:26	BUY	Yes	0.9499999762	21	$20.00
07:48:48	SELL	Yes	0.94	856	$804.88
07:37:59	BUY	Yes	0.949999962	5	$5.00
06:54:44	BUY	No	0.06	100	$6.00
06:42:26	BUY	Yes	0.95	87	$83.00
06:07:50	BUY	No	0.05038	10	$0.50
06:07:20	BUY	No	0.05	10	$0.50
06:06:17	BUY	No	0.05	40	$2.00
06:05:41	BUY	No	0.05	28	$1.40
06:05:41	BUY	No	0.05	10	$0.50
06:05:27	BUY	No	0.05	140	$7.00
06:03:33	BUY	No	0.05	40	$2.00
06:03:20	BUY	Yes	0.96	1	$1.22
06:02:09	BUY	No	0.05	40	$2.00
06:02:02	BUY	No	0.05	500	$25.00
06:02:02	BUY	No	0.05	40	$2.00
06:02:02	BUY	No	0.05	7	$0.37
05:50:42	SELL	Yes	0.95	113	$106.93
05:49:45	SELL	Yes	0.95	10	$9.50
05:42:50	BUY	Yes	0.96	10	$9.60
05:29:59	BUY	Yes	0.96	2	$1.63
05:18:56	BUY	Yes	0.96	1	$1.24
05:14:48	BUY	No	0.05	27	$1.35
05:14:48	BUY	No	0.05	93	$4.65
05:12:44	BUY	Yes	0.96	1	$1.24