momo513
0xcdf82242c9984bd8d274085ab54165633c54b8ea
- Realised P&L
- $6.8k
- Volume
- $1.60M
- Markets traded
- 357
- Open portfolio
- $140.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded357
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.831Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.506Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$1.2kat 0.869Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$1.1kat 0.814Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.883LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 10:23 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9564645606 | $2.4k |
| 08-02 10:21 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.957 | $2.9k |
| 08-02 07:16 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.9872127012 | $453.92 |
| 08-02 07:12 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9912 | $991.20 |
| 08-02 04:39 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9194666667 | $275.84 |
| 08-02 04:37 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9419126087 | $2.2k |
| 08-02 04:35 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $890.00 |
| 08-02 04:35 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599603199 | $552.07 |
| 08-02 04:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | BUY | 0.8925 | $35.70 |
| 08-02 04:31 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August? | BUY | 0.9291809955 | $102.67 |
| 08-02 04:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? | BUY | 0.98 | $980.00 |
| 08-02 04:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? | BUY | 0.971 | $971.00 |
| 08-02 04:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.9732573333 | $2.9k |
| 08-02 04:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.98724335 | $3.0k |
| 08-02 04:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.6k |